

I mean if Donald trump was being prosecuted and it seemed like he’d actually face legal consequences, he’d still have tons of people who support him in the US.
Cults of personality who use the support they’ve built to game the political system and try to uproot democracy do so through their ability to build support.
I’d wager he only got to the point where he could try to game the election because he had the ability to build so much support and was successful in doing so.
While that is a fair counterpoint, it does feel like there’s a difference between being prosecuted for like real estate fraud or whatever in one of the most left leaning states, and what’s currently happening with Bolsonaro.
If we get to a point where trump tries to steal an election, fails, and is actually facing extremely serious federal consequences, I would expect we would see a lot of trump supporters out in the streets.
He didn’t even get held accountable but the fact that he could fail at stealing the election in 2020 was enough to produce jan 6th, and I imagine jan 6th and how it blew up and (temporarily) got a lot of folks in legal trouble, blew off a lot of the steam and confidence needed for a bigger showing in response to the legal trouble trump almost kinda sorta got in.
I don’t think the way things are playing out in Brazil is terribly surprising.